Italy vs Moldova: Live Score, Stats, Results, Prediction, H2H and Lineups
The stage is set for an international football clash as Italy prepares to host Moldova on June 9, 2025. While on paper it may seem like a straightforward encounter, every match tells its own story. This comprehensive guide provides everything you need for the Italy vs Moldova matchup, from live score updates and tactical analysis to predicted lineups and key player insights.
Match Importance: More Than Just a Friendly
For the Azzurri, this fixture is a critical component of their preparation for upcoming UEFA Nations League or European Championship qualifiers. It is an opportunity to fine-tune tactics, integrate squad players, and build momentum. For Moldova, ranked significantly lower, this match represents a priceless chance to test their resilience against a European powerhouse and gain invaluable experience on a major stage.
Historical Context: A One-Sided Affair
The history between Italy and Moldova is overwhelmingly dominated by the Azzurri. In all five of their previous encounters, Italy has emerged victorious, demonstrating a clear gulf in class. The goal difference of 17-1 in Italy’s favor underscores their offensive prowess and defensive solidity in this particular matchup. Their last meeting, a 6-0 victory for Italy in 2020, serves as a stark reminder of the challenge Moldova faces.
Italy vs Moldova Live: Real-Time Score Updates
(Note: This section will be dynamic on a live article page. For the preview, it sets the expectation for updates.)
Follow this space for real-time updates from the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence. We will bring you minute-by-minute action, including goals, yellow and red cards, key substitutions, and major VAR decisions from kickoff until the final whistle.
Key Moments to Watch Live:
Early Pressure: Will Italy score an early goal to settle nerves and dictate tempo?
Moldova’s Resilience: How long can Moldova’s defense hold out against waves of Italian attacks?
Set-Piece Opportunities: Italy’s aerial threat from corners and free-kicks could be decisive.
Italy vs Moldova Head to Head Record Analysis
A look at the historical data confirms Italy’s dominance.
Total Matches Played: 5
Italy Wins: 5
Draws: 0
Moldova Wins: 0
Goals Scored (Italy): 17
Goals Scored (Moldova): 1
Italy has kept a clean sheet in four of the five meetings, highlighting the difficulty Moldova has in breaking down their organized defense.
Team Form and Performance Analysis
Italy Recent Form:
Italy enters this match in confident spirits. With four wins in their last five outings, the team is displaying the tactical discipline and attacking flair reminiscent of their European Championship-winning campaign. The squad is blending experienced veterans with exciting new talent seamlessly.
Moldova Current Form:
Moldova’s form has been inconsistent. While they have managed to secure draws against teams of similar stature, victories have been scarce. Their primary challenge has been a lack of cutting edge in attack and occasional lapses in concentration defensively.
Italy vs Moldova Predicted Lineups and Team News
Italy Probable Starting XI (4-3-3):
GK: Gianluigi Donnarumma
DEF: Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni, Federico Dimarco
MID: Nicolò Barella, Manuel Locatelli, Lorenzo Pellegrini
FWD: Federico Chiesa, Mateo Retegui, Mattia Zaccagni
Moldova Probable Starting XI (5-4-1):
GK: Cristian Avram
DEF: Oleg Reabciuk, Igor Armas, Victor Posmac, Artur Cravin, Victor Stina
MID: Vadim Rata, Mihail Platica, Sergiu Cojocari, Ion Nicolaescu
FWD: Virgiliu Baboglo
Injury Report:
Italy has a fully fit squad but may rotate players to manage workload. Moldova is also expected to have no major absentees and will likely field their strongest available lineup.
Tactical Breakdown and Key Match Stats
Expect a game of distinct contrasts.
Possession: Italy will likely dominate, aiming for 70% or more.
Style of Play: Italy will employ a high-press, possession-based game, using their full-backs for width. Moldova will sit deep in a compact, low block, looking to absorb pressure and launch counter-attacks.
Key Battle: The duel between Italy’s creative midfielders (Barella, Pellegrini) and Moldova’s defensive shield (Cojocari, Platica) will be crucial.
Key Players to Watch in the Italy vs Moldova Clash
Federico Chiesa (Italy): His pace, dribbling, and directness will be a constant threat to Moldova’s defense on the wing.
Nicolò Barella (Italy): The engine of the team, Barella’s energy, passing range, and ability to arrive in the box can unlock any defense.
Ion Nicolaescu (Moldova): As the team’s primary goal threat, he will have to make the most of any rare chances that come his way.
Oleg Reabciuk (Moldova): The experienced defender will have a busy evening containing Chiesa and will need to be at his absolute best.
Italy vs Moldova Match Prediction and Betting Insights
Final Score Prediction: Italy 4 – 0 Moldova
Based on the vast difference in quality, depth, and historical precedent, a comprehensive victory for Italy is the most likely outcome. Moldova’s focus will be on damage limitation.
Betting Odds Overview:
Italy to Win: Heavily favored (approx. 1.05)
Draw: Unlikely (approx. 10.00)
Moldova to Win: Highly improbable (approx. 20.00)
Over 2.5 Goals: Very likely.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No.
Match Information: Venue, Time, and Broadcast Details
Date: Monday, June 9, 2025
Kick-off Time: 20:45 CET (Local Time in Florence)
Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy
How to Watch: The match will be broadcast live on Rai 1 in Italy and Moldova 1 in Moldova. Streaming will be available via official platforms like UEFA.tv and broadcaster apps.
Conclusion
The Italy vs Moldova encounter is a classic case of a favorite versus an underdog. While the result seems a foregone conclusion, the match offers Italy a chance to build cohesion and Moldova an opportunity to prove their mettle. For fans, it is a spectacle to enjoy the artistry of a top-tier team in action. Stay tuned for what promises to be an engaging contest.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Q1: What time does Italy vs Moldova kick off?
A: The match kicks off at 20:45 Central European Time (CET) on Monday, June 9, 2025.
Q2: Who is the favorite to win between Italy and Moldova?
A: Italy is the overwhelming favorite, given their superior FIFA ranking, squad depth, and perfect historical record against Moldova.
Q3: Is there any way Moldova can pull off an upset?
A: While highly unlikely, football is unpredictable. Moldova would need a perfect defensive performance and to capitalize on any rare mistakes Italy might make.
Q4: Where can I stream the Italy vs Moldova match live?
A: You can stream the game live via UEFA.tv or through the official apps of broadcasters like Rai Play (Italy) and Moldova 1.
Q5: What is the most likely correct score prediction?
A: A 4-0 victory for Italy is a strong possibility, reflecting their attacking strength and defensive stability.